1 linked to DBS case
The Grace Assembly of God church's premises in Tanglin. Five of the eight new coronavirus cases in Singapore are linked to the church.ST PHOTO: GAVIN FOORei Kurohi
Hariz Baharudin
SINGAPORE - Eight more cases of the coronavirus with links to previous ones have been confirmed in Singapore, bringing the total number of infected people to 58.
Five of the new cases are linked to the Grace Assembly of God church, including a 54-year-old man who is a professor, from the National University of Singapore’s (NUS) School of Design and Environment (SDE).
The Ministry of Health said on Thursday (Feb 13) that the professor did not interact with colleagues and students after he fell ill.
The cluster is now linked to seven confirmed cases, including the church's senior pastor Wilson Teo. Two earlier cases, both staff at the church, were announced on Wednesday.
Another two new cases are Bangladeshi work pass holders, aged 30 and 37, who are linked to a worksite in Seletar Aerospace Heights. They are cases 52 and 56.
The worksite is now linked to a cluster of four cases, all of whom are Bangladeshi nationals.
The last new case is a 30-year-old Singaporean man who is a family member of case 50, the 62-year-old male DBS Bank employee who was confirmed to have the virus on Wednesday. He is case 55.
None of the new cases has recent travel history to China. They are all currently warded in isolation rooms at the National Centre for Infectious Diseases.
About 300 DBS employees vacated their office at Marina Bay Financial Centre on Feb 12 after an employee was confirmed to be infected with the coronavirus. ST PHOTO: CHOO YUN TING
A woman at the Grace Assembly of God church in Bukit Batok on Feb 13, 2020. The church is working with vendors to carry out a thorough cleaning and sanitisation of the premises at both its Bukit Batok and Tanglin locations. ST PHOTO: NG SOR LUANOf the five linked to the Grace Assembly of God church, two were confirmed to have the virus on Wednesday afternoon, and the other three tested positive on Thursday morning. All five are Singaporeans.
They include four men, aged 26, 48, 54 and 58, and one 54-year-old woman.
Case 51, the 48-year-old man, fell ill on Feb 4 and saw a GP on Feb 5 and 10. He went to the NCID on Feb 11.
Before being hospitalised, he went to work at both of the church's locations, in Tanglin Road and Bukit Batok West.
In a statement to the church's congregants, the man identified himself as Mr Wilson Teo, a senior pastor.
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He noted that he is recovering well and that all staff members of the church have been issued home quarantine orders by the MOH.
Both the church's premises at Tanglin and Bukit Batok will be closed from Feb 14 to Feb 25 and reopen on Feb 26 pending further updates, he said.
Case 53, the 54-year-old NUS professor, fell ill on Feb 10 and went to the NCID on Feb 12. He tested positive the same day.
In a message to NUS staff and students, the university's president Tan Eng Chye said the professor, who attends the Grace Assembly of God church, is in stable condition and in good spirits.
His last contact with students was on Feb 5, said Prof Tan.
As a precaution, e-learning will be conducted for all students at the SDE from Friday, Prof Tan added. There will be no in-person classes, tests, meetings or other interactions between students and staff of the school until Feb 21.
The week after, from Feb 22 to Mar 1, is a break period, or recess week.
It is unclear if the other three cases linked to the church - cases 54, 57 and 58 - are congregants or workers. Two previous cases in the cluster, cases 48 and 49, were both church workers who visited both locations.
One of the Bangladeshis confirmed to be infected on Thursday, case 52, fell ill on Feb 7.
The two previously identified Bangladeshi work pass holders worked at the Seletar Aerospaces Heights worksite (above). PHOTO: LIANHE ZAOBAOAssoc Prof Kenneth Mak giving an update on the coronavirus situation in S'pore as of Feb 13
He reported that he had mostly stayed in his rental apartment in Campbell Lane since he fell sick.
The 37-year-old was identified as a close contact of the two previously identified Bangladeshi work pass holders, who both worked at the Seletar Aerospaces Heights worksite.
The MOH also said on Thursday that Singapore will continue to rely on laboratory tests to confirm cases of infection.
It added that it would not change its approach to confirming cases of the virus despite the Chinese authorities adopting new broader guidelines, including the use of CT scans and clinical diagnosis of symptoms.
New diagnostic guidelines for confirming cases in China kicked in on Wednesday, allowing doctors to assess patients clinically and diagnose cases.
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This means a patient can be confirmed to be suffering from Covid-19, as the disease is called, if they have symptoms of severe respiratory tract disease and a CT scan shows lesions in their lungs.
Previously, cases would only be confirmed after laboratory tests.
The number of confirmed cases in China's Hubei province spiked after the new guidelines were adopted.
The death toll in Hubei also rose by 242 to 1,310 as of Wednesday after figures were revised to include
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Bali + World News & Views Editor's Comments:
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Editor Lawrence -Bali Sunset
Combined Blogs With Over 1,700,000 Pageviews
Update. Novel Coronavirus---2020-02-13:
Based on the Last official update: 12th. February 2020, 8:02 p.m. ET
There are currently 60,016 confirmed cases worldwide, including 1,357 fatalities.
As I have been saying for some time "The reality is that there are probably many more cases and substantially more deaths that have not been reported as of this date."
"The reality is that there are probably many more cases and substantially more deaths that have not been reported as of this date."
The Bad News:
The amount of cases reported throughout the world has increased significantly overnight. From 44,793 to 60,616 cases.
As I said during every other update "the real numbers are probably substantially higher".
As the Chinese go into buildings that were previously welded shut they will discover many more cases and many more deaths.
But what I am concerned about is, "is the coronavirus spreading or is it slowing down?"
The Good News:
JAKARTA (THE JAKARTA POST/ASIA NEWS NETWORK) - Authorities in Anhui province, China, have reported that a Chinese national who visited Bali late last month has tested positive for the coronavirus disease Covid-19, as Indonesian authorities scramble to verify the information on Wednesday (Feb 12).
The patient stayed on the island for about a week before flying on Garuda Indonesia flight GA858 from Bali to Shanghai on Jan 28.
The patient was found to have been infected with the coronavirus on Feb 5 by Huainan CDC according to the Weibo post.
Up until today's rather dramatic news we were seeing the coronavirus slow down substantially.
In fact overnight there were several news reports, which I did not have a chance to read yet, stating that the coronavirus had peaked.
The world World Health Organization W.H.O.was quick to make a statement that coronavirus cases may not have peaked so there's lots of coonflicking news, as there always is during a virus breakout.
I still believe that the coronavirus may have peaked or will peak this month as I predicted a month ago.
I still believe that the coronavirus may have peaked or will peak this month as I predicted a month ago.
"I still believe that the coronavirus may have peaked or will peak this month as I predicted a month ago."
We may be just receiving the real numbers now and if we had the real numbers before we would still see a declining percentage of new virus cases every day.
So, I personally along with my family our hotel staff and our guests are still confident that this virus is of little risk, especially in Bali where to this date there have been no reported cases of coronavirus.
Last night there was a reported case of a Chinese tourist that came here and left last month. After he arrived in China after eight days he did show signs of the coronavirus.
That does not mean he caught it here although there is a slight chance that may be reality.
Coronavirus patient visited Bali last month: Chinese authorities
Passengers wear face masks at Ngurah Rai International Airport in Bali on Feb 9, 2020.PHOTO: NYTIMESPUBLISHED10 HOURS AGO
That does not mean he caught it here although there is a slight chance that may be reality.
Coronavirus patient visited Bali last month: Chinese authorities
Passengers wear face masks at Ngurah Rai International Airport in Bali on Feb 9, 2020.PHOTO: NYTIMESPUBLISHED10 HOURS AGOJAKARTA (THE JAKARTA POST/ASIA NEWS NETWORK) - Authorities in Anhui province, China, have reported that a Chinese national who visited Bali late last month has tested positive for the coronavirus disease Covid-19, as Indonesian authorities scramble to verify the information on Wednesday (Feb 12).
The patient stayed on the island for about a week before flying on Garuda Indonesia flight GA858 from Bali to Shanghai on Jan 28.
The patient was found to have been infected with the coronavirus on Feb 5 by Huainan CDC according to the Weibo post.
Editor's comment: So if I'm reading this right the press is speculating that someone received the virus in Bali even though they were not diagnosed with the virus when they arrived in China. I assume when he arrived in China he was inspected by the now already experienced airport inspection teams.
Then eight days later he was found to have the virus after spending 8 Days Back in China.
Excuse me but I think the press speculating on this person receiving the virus in Bali are not completing journalistic integrity.
I agree with," the Health Ministry's disease control and environmental health director-general, Mr Anung Sugihantono, said his office had not yet received the information and was still "confirming it" but he was quick to say that it was "a rumour""
Coronavirus may not like high heat:
Remembering back to the SARS virus 18 years ago one thing I remember is that SARS did not do very well in extreme heat. Therefore I believe there was little or no cases of SARS in Bali at the time.
Donald Trump was alluding to this fact the other day after talking to the president of China.
He said that he was told by the president of China that this virus does not survive in high heat and of course Bali is in the midst of their summer with temperatures 33 to 35°C.
“Coronaviruses have seasonality," says Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease specialist with the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security. “We do know that certain environmental conditions favor the transmission of viruses and that cold weather, the humidity, all of that, affect trajectory. There's a good reason to believe [this virus] will have that seasonality."
“Coronaviruses have seasonality," says Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease specialist with the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security. “We do know that certain environmental conditions favor the transmission of viruses and that cold weather, the humidity, all of that, affect trajectory. There's a good reason to believe [this virus] will have that seasonality."
Summary:
So the bottom line is don't let today's substantial rise in cases and deaths scare you.
So the bottom line is don't let today's substantial rise in cases and deaths scare you.
"Don't let today's substantial rise in cases and deaths scare you"
The Chinese may be just showing the real numbers and in fact they could even go higher in the coming weeks as the Chinese discover more and more cases and deaths in the high-rises that they had quarantined before.
I sincerely believe so much that this virus has actually peaked or is close to peaking that I told my two sons this morning that "if the news continues to be good through the weekend that they will not have to wear masks to school on Monday at the international school that they attend.
Indonesia & Bali are still free from the deadly virus according to the Indonesian Authorities.
New Cases May End in March or April:
Now, are you ready for some really good news?
If the number of new cases reported only stays at the same percentage increase per day as it is right now the number of new cases reported in early March or April will be down to two or three.
That's right that's not a typo, two or three new cases. This means the spread of the virus could be over by March.
Countries around the world are taking drastic actions to prevent this disease from spreading such as quarantining everybody returning from China and stopping all flights to China.
There's a good chance that it may even slow down faster than I'm predicting and we could be seeing no new cases reported as early as mid-February.
Unfortunately, this still means that by the time it is over there will be 70,000 to 100,000 cases diagnosed worldwide and 1% to 3% of them will sadly pass.
Primarily again those will be those with weakened immune systems which are primarily older people who already have diseases.
"At this point, there's reason to have hope."
Of course, there are a lot of variables involved in this deadly disease.
Many things can change overnight as they did last night.
At this point, there's reason to have hope.
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Confused? We understand that you may have concerns that we may not have even thought of, so feel free to ask whatever questions you wish.
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If you wish to fly over and see the location first after you place a USD 2,000 Deposit we will offer you free accommodations in a 4 bdrm. 5 bath luxury beach view estate with a private 14 m pool for three days within walking distance of the location.
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Should you decide not to continue with the purchase we will refund your $2,000 Deposit minus $200.00 for the three-day stay.
Thank you for taking the time out of your busy schedule to review this information and information on the website. If there is any further information we can provide you please do not hesitate to ask.
Cheers, THE SALES TEAM © Bali Luxury Retirement Villas
PLEASE CALL OR EMAIL US: Tel: 62-361-284069 Mobile or Whatsapp 62-812-3814014 Email: infoBLRV@gmail.com
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Please contact us if you wish for further information. Tel: 62-361-284069 Mobile or Whatsapp 62-812-3814014 Email: infoBLRV@gmail.com
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About the Speaker Lawrence. Is the Owner, President and General Manager of 14-year-old Pt. Bali Affordable Lifestyles International (PT. B.A.L.I.). Doing Business as Best Asia Real Estate.
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They are a Ten-time Consecutive Certificate of Excellence recipient on the World's Largest Travel Site. This places them among the top 10 % of hotels and villas listed by Tripadvisor worldwide.
Lawrence is also one of Asia’s best-known travel and real estate investment experts. They publish the daily Bali & World News & Views Blog which combined with Bali News and Views Blog has had almost 1,500,000 pageviews. They also publish the Best Asia Real Estate Blog, Facebook, and Twitter posts. He offers free real estate seminars throughout Asia every quarter. For Free Seminar schedule email to seminarsptbali@gmail.com
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